Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Emirates Integrated Telecommunications Company PJSC (DU.AE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.88 - $16.36$11.96
Multi-Stage$14.70 - $16.11$15.39
Blended Fair Value$13.68
Current Price$9.20
Upside48.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.22%2.75%0.410.260.220.250.340.350.350.340.330.43
YoY Growth--57.69%18.18%-12.00%-26.47%-2.86%0.00%2.94%2.16%-23.26%38.71%
Dividend Yield--5.08%4.54%4.36%3.84%4.85%6.73%6.66%6.96%5.47%6.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,766.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,629.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)136.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)553.21345.76207.45
Cash Retained (M)136.97136.97136.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-553.21-345.76-207.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)-416.24-208.79-70.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,535.254,535.254,535.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.09-0.05-0.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.580.580.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.09-0.05-0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate1.06%2.06%3.06%
Fair Value$8.88$11.96$16.36
Upside / Downside-3.49%30.01%77.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,766.062,823.062,881.232,940.603,001.203,063.043,154.93
Payout Ratio95.05%94.04%93.03%92.02%91.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,629.092,654.762,680.382,705.922,731.382,756.742,918.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate1.06%2.06%3.06%
Year 1 PV (M)2,465.662,490.052,514.45
Year 2 PV (M)2,312.122,358.102,404.54
Year 3 PV (M)2,167.892,232.882,299.16
Year 4 PV (M)2,032.412,114.062,198.14
Year 5 PV (M)1,905.172,001.312,101.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)55,798.4358,614.2461,542.61
Equity Value (M)66,681.6769,810.6573,060.20
Shares Outstanding (M)4,535.254,535.254,535.25
Fair Value$14.70$15.39$16.11
Upside / Downside59.81%67.31%75.10%

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