Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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DHT Holdings, Inc. (DHT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas MidstreamSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$54.76 - $247.25$126.48
Multi-Stage$29.16 - $31.86$30.49
Blended Fair Value$78.48
Current Price$12.03
Upside552.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS41.27%38.96%1.001.160.120.141.330.180.070.150.410.31
YoY Growth---13.54%848.58%-10.89%-89.71%648.37%149.72%-50.76%-64.85%34.90%718.26%
Dividend Yield--9.56%9.87%1.13%2.37%22.51%2.33%1.56%4.27%9.23%5.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)199.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)125.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)74.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.9924.9915.00
Cash Retained (M)74.4774.4774.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.99-24.99-15.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)34.4849.4759.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)160.84160.84160.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.310.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.780.780.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.310.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.991.091.15
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$54.76$126.48$247.25
Upside / Downside355.23%951.37%1,955.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)199.96212.96226.80241.54257.24273.96282.18
Payout Ratio62.76%68.21%73.66%79.10%84.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)125.49145.25167.05191.07217.50246.57261.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)133.95135.22136.49
Year 2 PV (M)142.07144.78147.51
Year 3 PV (M)149.86154.16158.55
Year 4 PV (M)157.32163.38169.60
Year 5 PV (M)164.48172.42180.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,942.864,133.304,331.03
Equity Value (M)4,690.554,903.265,123.85
Shares Outstanding (M)160.84160.84160.84
Fair Value$29.16$30.49$31.86
Upside / Downside142.42%153.41%164.81%

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