Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (DGX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$174.63 - $412.56$257.33
Multi-Stage$283.13 - $311.16$296.88
Blended Fair Value$277.11
Current Price$190.58
Upside45.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.97%5.88%2.932.782.702.732.632.532.352.191.971.88
YoY Growth--5.41%2.95%-1.29%4.04%3.85%7.52%7.69%10.76%5.19%13.37%
Dividend Yield--1.73%2.06%1.91%2.00%2.05%3.15%2.61%2.18%2.01%2.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)969.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)347.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)622.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)193.80121.1372.68
Cash Retained (M)622.00622.00622.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-193.80-121.13-72.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)428.20500.88549.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)113.00113.00113.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.794.434.86
LTM Dividend per Share3.073.073.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.794.434.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.867.507.93
WACC / Discount Rate5.62%5.62%5.62%
Growth Rate1.63%2.63%3.63%
Fair Value$174.63$257.33$412.56
Upside / Downside-8.37%35.03%116.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)969.00994.451,020.571,047.371,074.881,103.111,136.20
Payout Ratio35.81%46.65%57.49%68.32%79.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)347.00463.89586.68715.61850.89992.801,050.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.62%5.62%5.62%
Growth Rate1.63%2.63%3.63%
Year 1 PV (M)434.93439.21443.49
Year 2 PV (M)515.72525.92536.22
Year 3 PV (M)589.79607.37625.30
Year 4 PV (M)657.51683.77710.82
Year 5 PV (M)719.27755.36792.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,076.6830,535.6832,052.67
Equity Value (M)31,993.9133,547.3235,161.39
Shares Outstanding (M)113.00113.00113.00
Fair Value$283.13$296.88$311.16
Upside / Downside48.56%55.78%63.27%

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