Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fibra Danhos (DANHOS13.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.16 - $49.62$39.55
Multi-Stage$41.34 - $45.29$43.28
Blended Fair Value$41.42
Current Price$24.61
Upside68.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.68%8.21%1.171.221.181.000.751.341.070.891.020.62
YoY Growth---4.77%3.69%17.82%34.01%-44.02%25.12%19.95%-13.13%65.09%17.12%
Dividend Yield--5.21%6.06%4.92%4.24%2.93%6.87%3.84%2.97%3.30%1.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,717.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,744.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,972.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)943.50589.69353.81
Cash Retained (M)2,972.752,972.752,972.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-943.50-589.69-353.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,029.252,383.062,618.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,589.621,589.621,589.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.281.501.65
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.281.501.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.372.602.75
WACC / Discount Rate8.88%8.88%8.88%
Growth Rate1.18%2.18%3.18%
Fair Value$31.16$39.55$49.62
Upside / Downside26.63%60.73%101.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,717.514,820.124,924.965,032.085,141.535,253.365,410.96
Payout Ratio36.98%47.59%58.19%68.79%79.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,744.762,293.792,865.883,461.764,082.224,728.035,005.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.88%8.88%8.88%
Growth Rate1.18%2.18%3.18%
Year 1 PV (M)2,086.042,106.662,127.28
Year 2 PV (M)2,370.262,417.342,464.89
Year 3 PV (M)2,603.792,681.762,761.27
Year 4 PV (M)2,792.372,904.423,019.80
Year 5 PV (M)2,941.213,089.463,243.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)52,926.9555,594.7858,369.12
Equity Value (M)65,720.6268,794.4271,986.00
Shares Outstanding (M)1,589.621,589.621,589.62
Fair Value$41.34$43.28$45.29
Upside / Downside68.00%75.85%84.01%

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