Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Danaos Corporation (DAC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$447.07 - $922.64$628.47
Multi-Stage$386.49 - $422.97$404.40
Blended Fair Value$516.43
Current Price$89.81
Upside475.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%3.363.253.291.650.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3.48%-1.28%99.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.31%4.48%6.02%1.61%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)467.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)401.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)93.4358.3935.03
Cash Retained (M)401.64401.64401.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-93.43-58.39-35.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)308.21343.25366.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.7018.7018.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.4918.3619.61
LTM Dividend per Share3.503.503.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.4918.3619.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.9921.8623.11
WACC / Discount Rate8.93%8.93%8.93%
Growth Rate4.27%5.27%6.27%
Fair Value$447.07$628.47$922.64
Upside / Downside397.79%599.78%927.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)467.13491.74517.65544.93573.64603.87621.98
Payout Ratio14.02%29.22%44.41%59.61%74.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65.49143.67229.90324.82429.11543.48575.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.93%8.93%8.93%
Growth Rate4.27%5.27%6.27%
Year 1 PV (M)130.63131.89133.14
Year 2 PV (M)190.08193.75197.44
Year 3 PV (M)244.20251.30258.53
Year 4 PV (M)293.34304.76316.50
Year 5 PV (M)337.83354.34371.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,029.526,324.266,630.40
Equity Value (M)7,225.617,560.287,907.51
Shares Outstanding (M)18.7018.7018.70
Fair Value$386.49$404.40$422.97
Upside / Downside330.35%350.28%370.96%

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