DDM Analysis: CSTR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$47.98 - $279.92	$88.88
Multi-Stage	$28.31 - $30.95	$29.61
Blended Fair Value	$59.24
Current Price	$18.74
Upside	216.13%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014
DPS	48.83%	0.00%	0.43	0.37	0.24	0.19	0.17	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	15.72%	54.90%	25.58%	15.06%	181.91%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.29%	2.45%	1.14%	1.10%	1.67%	0.37%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	29.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)	20.72

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5.96	3.73	2.24
Cash Retained (M)	20.72	20.72	20.72
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5.96	-3.73	-2.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)	14.76	17.00	18.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	21.17	21.17	21.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.70	0.80	0.87
LTM Dividend per Share	0.43	0.43	0.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.70	0.80	0.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.13	1.23	1.30
WACC / Discount Rate	7.98%	7.98%	7.98%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$47.98	$88.88	$279.92
Upside / Downside	156.05%	374.27%	1,393.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	29.80	31.74	33.80	36.00	38.34	40.83	42.06
Payout Ratio	30.48%	42.38%	54.29%	66.19%	78.10%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9.08	13.45	18.35	23.83	29.94	36.75	38.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.98%	7.98%	7.98%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	12.34	12.46	12.58
Year 2 PV (M)	15.45	15.74	16.04
Year 3 PV (M)	18.40	18.93	19.47
Year 4 PV (M)	21.21	22.03	22.87
Year 5 PV (M)	23.89	25.04	26.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)	508.19	532.73	558.22
Equity Value (M)	599.48	626.93	655.41
Shares Outstanding (M)	21.17	21.17	21.17
Fair Value	$28.31	$29.61	$30.95
Upside / Downside	51.07%	57.99%	65.17%

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CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. (CSTR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener