DDM Analysis: CSAP.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,175.91 - $4,234.26	$3,756.60
Multi-Stage	$535.82 - $586.32	$560.60
Blended Fair Value	$2,158.60
Current Price	$308.00
Upside	600.85%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	17.41%	10.64%	7.00	8.63	7.06	3.14	1.57	3.14	2.85	2.50	1.27	2.55
YoY Growth	-	-	-18.88%	22.22%	125.00%	100.00%	-50.00%	10.00%	14.29%	96.00%	-50.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.71%	1.50%	0.92%	0.64%	0.39%	0.83%	0.49%	0.50%	0.28%	0.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	121,000.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	36,940.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)	84,060.19

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	24,200.16	15,125.10	9,075.06
Cash Retained (M)	84,060.19	84,060.19	84,060.19
(-) Cash Required (M)	-24,200.16	-15,125.10	-9,075.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)	59,860.02	68,935.08	74,985.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5,683.18	5,683.18	5,683.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share	10.53	12.13	13.19
LTM Dividend per Share	6.50	6.50	6.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	10.53	12.13	13.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	17.03	18.63	19.69
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1,175.91	$3,756.60	$4,234.26
Upside / Downside	281.79%	1,119.68%	1,274.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	121,000.82	128,865.88	137,242.16	146,162.90	155,663.49	165,781.62	170,755.06
Payout Ratio	30.53%	42.42%	54.32%	66.21%	78.11%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	36,940.64	54,669.28	74,546.57	96,776.94	121,582.29	149,203.45	157,948.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	50,599.73	51,079.35	51,558.97
Year 2 PV (M)	63,861.24	65,077.62	66,305.47
Year 3 PV (M)	76,733.74	78,936.49	81,180.99
Year 4 PV (M)	89,225.63	92,656.99	96,186.39
Year 5 PV (M)	101,345.15	106,240.16	111,322.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,663,382.15	2,792,024.51	2,925,590.31
Equity Value (M)	3,045,147.64	3,186,015.11	3,332,144.64
Shares Outstanding (M)	5,683.18	5,683.18	5,683.18
Fair Value	$535.82	$560.60	$586.32
Upside / Downside	73.97%	82.01%	90.36%

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PT Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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