DDM Analysis: CRES.BA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$29,324.99 - $58,315.03	$54,649.72
Multi-Stage	$9,185.17 - $10,045.26	$9,607.35
Blended Fair Value	$32,128.53
Current Price	$1,413.00
Upside	2,173.78%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	102.75%	119.29%	141.64	200.21	263.98	107.87	18.89	4.13	0.75	1.52	7.36	0.39
YoY Growth	-	-	-29.26%	-24.16%	144.72%	471.13%	356.86%	447.64%	-50.43%	-79.30%	1,800.42%	602.94%
Dividend Yield	-	-	10.02%	18.62%	47.96%	65.55%	20.55%	10.66%	2.16%	3.10%	25.10%	1.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	181,002.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	121,662.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	59,340.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	36,200.40	22,625.25	13,575.15
Cash Retained (M)	59,340.00	59,340.00	59,340.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-36,200.40	-22,625.25	-13,575.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)	23,139.60	36,714.75	45,764.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	617.28	617.28	617.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share	37.49	59.48	74.14
LTM Dividend per Share	197.09	197.09	197.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share	37.49	59.48	74.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	234.58	256.57	271.23
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$29,324.99	$54,649.72	$58,315.03
Upside / Downside	1,975.37%	3,767.64%	4,027.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	181,002.00	192,767.13	205,296.99	218,641.30	232,852.98	247,988.43	255,428.08
Payout Ratio	67.22%	71.77%	76.33%	80.89%	85.44%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	121,662.00	138,354.11	156,702.17	176,850.93	198,956.96	223,189.58	236,270.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	128,879.02	130,100.62	131,322.22
Year 2 PV (M)	135,973.83	138,563.75	141,178.10
Year 3 PV (M)	142,947.91	147,051.43	151,232.74
Year 4 PV (M)	149,802.75	155,563.74	161,489.31
Year 5 PV (M)	156,539.78	164,100.71	171,951.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,955,692.79	5,195,054.60	5,443,577.36
Equity Value (M)	5,669,836.07	5,930,434.84	6,200,750.75
Shares Outstanding (M)	617.28	617.28	617.28
Fair Value	$9,185.17	$9,607.35	$10,045.26
Upside / Downside	550.05%	579.93%	610.92%

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Financial Statements

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Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria (CRES.BA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener