DDM Analysis: CRAV.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$271.23 - $467.41	$355.78
Multi-Stage	$929.56 - $1,025.75	$976.70
Blended Fair Value	$666.24
Current Price	$99.00
Upside	572.97%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.79%	4.03%	3.19	2.74	0.00	0.00	2.24	2.30	2.32	2.36	2.36	2.13
YoY Growth	-	-	16.60%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-2.61%	-0.89%	-1.95%	0.26%	10.78%	-0.93%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.65%	3.22%	0.00%	0.00%	1.93%	1.44%	1.76%	1.96%	2.38%	2.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	161.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	46.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)	115.21

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	32.26	20.17	12.10
Cash Retained (M)	115.21	115.21	115.21
(-) Cash Required (M)	-32.26	-20.17	-12.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)	82.94	95.04	103.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	7.38	7.38	7.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	11.23	12.87	13.96
LTM Dividend per Share	6.25	6.25	6.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	11.23	12.87	13.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend	17.48	19.12	20.21
WACC / Discount Rate	4.75%	4.75%	4.75%
Growth Rate	-1.59%	-0.59%	0.41%
Fair Value	$271.23	$355.78	$467.41
Upside / Downside	173.97%	259.38%	372.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	161.32	160.37	159.42	158.47	157.53	156.60	161.29
Payout Ratio	28.59%	40.87%	53.15%	65.44%	77.72%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	46.12	65.54	84.73	103.70	122.43	140.94	149.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.75%	4.75%	4.75%
Growth Rate	-1.59%	-0.59%	0.41%
Year 1 PV (M)	61.94	62.57	63.20
Year 2 PV (M)	75.68	77.23	78.79
Year 3 PV (M)	87.53	90.22	92.97
Year 4 PV (M)	97.67	101.70	105.85
Year 5 PV (M)	106.25	111.76	117.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6,435.23	6,768.92	7,116.30
Equity Value (M)	6,864.30	7,212.40	7,574.61
Shares Outstanding (M)	7.38	7.38	7.38
Fair Value	$929.56	$976.70	$1,025.75
Upside / Downside	838.95%	886.57%	936.11%

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Financial Statements

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Caisse régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Atlantique Vendée (CRAV.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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