DDM Analysis: CRAP.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$771.25 - $1,907.16	$1,153.68
Multi-Stage	$1,646.88 - $1,813.11	$1,728.38
Blended Fair Value	$1,441.03
Current Price	$94.51
Upside	1,424.74%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.57%	3.04%	3.45	2.96	2.33	1.42	2.35	2.51	2.32	2.15	1.90	2.28
YoY Growth	-	-	16.54%	26.83%	63.72%	-39.50%	-6.13%	8.03%	7.73%	13.50%	-16.79%	-10.67%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.10%	4.19%	3.79%	1.80%	2.34%	1.99%	2.13%	2.17%	2.29%	3.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	271.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	51.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)	219.60

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	54.28	33.93	20.36
Cash Retained (M)	219.60	219.60	219.60
(-) Cash Required (M)	-54.28	-33.93	-20.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)	165.32	185.68	199.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	7.44	7.44	7.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share	22.22	24.95	26.78
LTM Dividend per Share	6.96	6.96	6.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share	22.22	24.95	26.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend	29.18	31.92	33.74
WACC / Discount Rate	4.86%	4.86%	4.86%
Growth Rate	1.04%	2.04%	3.04%
Fair Value	$771.25	$1,153.68	$1,907.16
Upside / Downside	716.05%	1,120.70%	1,917.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	271.40	276.94	282.60	288.37	294.25	300.26	309.27
Payout Ratio	19.09%	33.27%	47.45%	61.63%	75.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	51.80	92.13	134.09	177.73	223.09	270.24	286.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.86%	4.86%	4.86%
Growth Rate	1.04%	2.04%	3.04%
Year 1 PV (M)	87.00	87.86	88.72
Year 2 PV (M)	119.56	121.94	124.34
Year 3 PV (M)	149.64	154.13	158.70
Year 4 PV (M)	177.36	184.49	191.83
Year 5 PV (M)	202.87	213.11	223.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)	11,517.53	12,098.86	12,703.43
Equity Value (M)	12,253.96	12,860.39	13,490.79
Shares Outstanding (M)	7.44	7.44	7.44
Fair Value	$1,646.88	$1,728.38	$1,813.11
Upside / Downside	1,642.55%	1,728.78%	1,818.43%

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Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Alpes Provence Société coopérative (CRAP.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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