DDM Analysis: COLM

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$29.64 - $44.90	$36.82
Multi-Stage	$42.60 - $46.70	$44.61
Blended Fair Value	$40.71
Current Price	$52.30
Upside	-22.15%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	1.38%	5.76%	1.25	1.32	1.34	1.23	0.31	1.17	1.12	0.91	0.86	0.78
YoY Growth	-	-	-5.05%	-2.19%	9.41%	299.09%	-73.60%	3.93%	23.09%	5.79%	10.51%	9.32%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.65%	1.62%	1.49%	1.36%	0.29%	1.67%	1.07%	1.19%	1.47%	1.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	186.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	66.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)	120.28

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	37.32	23.33	14.00
Cash Retained (M)	120.28	120.28	120.28
(-) Cash Required (M)	-37.32	-23.33	-14.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)	82.96	96.95	106.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	55.85	55.85	55.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.49	1.74	1.90
LTM Dividend per Share	1.19	1.19	1.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.49	1.74	1.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.67	2.92	3.09
WACC / Discount Rate	9.08%	9.08%	9.08%
Growth Rate	0.06%	1.06%	2.06%
Fair Value	$29.64	$36.82	$44.90
Upside / Downside	-43.33%	-29.60%	-14.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	186.61	188.59	190.58	192.60	194.63	196.69	202.59
Payout Ratio	35.55%	46.44%	57.33%	68.22%	79.11%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	66.33	87.57	109.25	131.39	153.97	177.02	187.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.08%	9.08%	9.08%
Growth Rate	0.06%	1.06%	2.06%
Year 1 PV (M)	79.49	80.28	81.08
Year 2 PV (M)	90.01	91.82	93.64
Year 3 PV (M)	98.25	101.22	104.26
Year 4 PV (M)	104.51	108.75	113.11
Year 5 PV (M)	109.06	114.61	120.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,897.90	1,994.66	2,095.32
Equity Value (M)	2,379.20	2,491.34	2,607.81
Shares Outstanding (M)	55.85	55.85	55.85
Fair Value	$42.60	$44.61	$46.70
Upside / Downside	-18.54%	-14.70%	-10.71%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener