Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Centrais Elétricas de Santa Catarina S.A. (CLSC3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,792.71 - $3,511.42$3,290.71
Multi-Stage$544.26 - $595.84$569.57
Blended Fair Value$1,930.14
Current Price$101.73
Upside1,797.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS42.08%14.69%5.324.523.613.101.690.920.390.030.733.68
YoY Growth--17.77%25.27%16.48%82.91%84.19%138.50%1,149.71%-95.76%-80.23%172.10%
Dividend Yield--6.65%7.39%8.91%6.79%4.15%3.04%1.18%0.19%6.51%50.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)701.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)249.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)451.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)140.2887.6752.60
Cash Retained (M)451.42451.42451.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-140.28-87.67-52.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)311.14363.75398.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.7239.7239.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.839.1610.04
LTM Dividend per Share6.296.296.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.839.1610.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.1315.4516.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,792.71$3,290.71$3,511.42
Upside / Downside1,662.23%3,134.75%3,351.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)701.38746.97795.52847.23902.30960.95989.78
Payout Ratio35.64%46.51%57.38%68.26%79.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)249.96347.42456.49578.28713.97864.85915.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)323.66326.73329.80
Year 2 PV (M)396.20403.75411.37
Year 3 PV (M)467.59481.01494.69
Year 4 PV (M)537.83558.51579.79
Year 5 PV (M)606.95636.26666.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,287.7020,219.3021,186.56
Equity Value (M)21,619.9322,625.5723,668.90
Shares Outstanding (M)39.7239.7239.72
Fair Value$544.26$569.57$595.84
Upside / Downside435.00%459.89%485.71%

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