DDM Analysis: CLNY

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$24.90 - $34.97	$29.90
Multi-Stage	$35.51 - $39.00	$37.22
Blended Fair Value	$33.56
Current Price	$8.50
Upside	294.85%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014	2013	2012
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	1.07	1.86	2.49	3.54	1.33	1.18	0.90	0.64	0.33
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	-42.41%	-25.17%	-29.58%	166.76%	12.63%	31.22%	39.50%	92.98%	75.39%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	16.57%	106.54%	45.22%	54.43%	20.40%	18.11%	13.81%	9.90%	5.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	686.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	92.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)	594.34

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	137.30	85.81	51.49
Cash Retained (M)	594.34	594.34	594.34
(-) Cash Required (M)	-137.30	-85.81	-51.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)	457.04	508.52	542.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	173.09	173.09	173.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.64	2.94	3.14
LTM Dividend per Share	0.53	0.53	0.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.64	2.94	3.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.17	3.47	3.67
WACC / Discount Rate	10.49%	10.49%	10.49%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$24.90	$29.90	$34.97
Upside / Downside	192.89%	251.78%	311.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	686.50	679.63	672.84	666.11	659.45	652.85	672.44
Payout Ratio	13.43%	28.74%	44.06%	59.37%	74.69%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	92.16	195.33	296.42	395.47	492.51	587.57	622.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.49%	10.49%	10.49%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	175.00	176.78	178.57
Year 2 PV (M)	237.92	242.80	247.73
Year 3 PV (M)	284.39	293.18	302.16
Year 4 PV (M)	317.31	330.46	344.01
Year 5 PV (M)	339.15	356.81	375.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,793.16	5,042.76	5,302.64
Equity Value (M)	6,146.93	6,442.79	6,750.31
Shares Outstanding (M)	173.09	173.09	173.09
Fair Value	$35.51	$37.22	$39.00
Upside / Downside	317.81%	337.92%	358.82%

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Colony Capital, Inc. (CLNY)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener