Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

ChampionX Corporation (CHX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.36 - $14.80$12.54
Multi-Stage$16.19 - $17.78$16.97
Blended Fair Value$14.76
Current Price$29.80
Upside-50.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.360.340.240.000.000.003.810.160.440.00
YoY Growth--8.54%42.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%2,261.37%-62.98%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.22%0.95%0.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%9.14%0.42%1.15%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)293.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)72.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)220.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58.6336.6421.99
Cash Retained (M)220.75220.75220.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-58.63-36.64-21.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)162.12184.10198.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)193.49193.49193.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.840.951.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.840.951.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.211.331.40
WACC / Discount Rate9.47%9.47%9.47%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10.36$12.54$14.80
Upside / Downside-65.24%-57.92%-50.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)293.14290.21287.31284.43281.59278.77287.14
Payout Ratio24.70%37.76%50.82%63.88%76.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)72.39109.57146.00181.69216.65250.90265.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.47%9.47%9.47%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)99.09100.10101.11
Year 2 PV (M)119.39121.84124.32
Year 3 PV (M)134.36138.51142.75
Year 4 PV (M)144.88150.88157.07
Year 5 PV (M)151.72159.62167.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,483.762,613.102,747.77
Equity Value (M)3,133.203,284.053,440.86
Shares Outstanding (M)193.49193.49193.49
Fair Value$16.19$16.97$17.78
Upside / Downside-45.66%-43.05%-40.33%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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