DDM Analysis: CHG-R.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.05 - $14.41	$6.72
Multi-Stage	$1.71 - $1.87	$1.79
Blended Fair Value	$4.25
Current Price	$1.59
Upside	167.42%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.96%	9.21%	0.07	0.09	0.26	0.06	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	-26.29%	-62.76%	325.25%	19.93%	0.00%	56.26%	-11.11%	0.31%	5.56%	17.24%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.12%	3.23%	7.04%	1.55%	1.71%	2.38%	1.66%	1.87%	1.44%	1.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	796.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	770.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	26.71

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	159.34	99.59	59.75
Cash Retained (M)	26.71	26.71	26.71
(-) Cash Required (M)	-159.34	-99.59	-59.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-132.63	-72.88	-33.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	10,999.06	10,999.06	10,999.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	-0.01	0.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.07	0.07	0.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	-0.01	0.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.06	0.06	0.07
WACC / Discount Rate	7.51%	7.51%	7.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$3.05	$6.72	$14.41
Upside / Downside	91.76%	322.40%	806.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	796.71	848.50	903.65	962.39	1,024.94	1,091.56	1,124.31
Payout Ratio	96.65%	95.32%	93.99%	92.66%	91.33%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	770.00	808.77	849.33	891.74	936.07	982.41	1,039.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.51%	7.51%	7.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	745.24	752.31	759.37
Year 2 PV (M)	721.14	734.88	748.75
Year 3 PV (M)	697.68	717.71	738.12
Year 4 PV (M)	674.85	700.80	727.49
Year 5 PV (M)	652.62	684.14	716.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)	15,335.53	16,076.24	16,845.30
Equity Value (M)	18,827.07	19,666.08	20,535.90
Shares Outstanding (M)	10,999.06	10,999.06	10,999.06
Fair Value	$1.71	$1.79	$1.87
Upside / Downside	7.65%	12.45%	17.43%

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Chularat Hospital Public Company Limited (CHG-R.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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