Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Grazziotin S.A. (CGRA3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$832.78 - $981.15$919.48
Multi-Stage$7,566.93 - $8,309.35$7,931.19
Blended Fair Value$4,425.34
Current Price$29.70
Upside14,800.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.43%15.96%2.221.992.041.071.490.771.291.200.740.84
YoY Growth--11.45%-2.45%90.36%-27.91%92.01%-39.71%7.25%61.05%-11.46%66.41%
Dividend Yield--8.17%7.84%8.67%3.41%6.42%4.20%7.85%6.91%6.26%14.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)101.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)49.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.4012.757.65
Cash Retained (M)49.3549.3549.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.40-12.75-7.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)28.9536.6041.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.6720.6720.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.401.772.02
LTM Dividend per Share2.552.552.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.401.772.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.954.324.56
WACC / Discount Rate-39.25%-39.25%-39.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$832.78$919.48$981.15
Upside / Downside2,703.96%2,995.90%3,203.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)101.99108.62115.68123.20131.21139.73143.93
Payout Ratio51.61%59.29%66.97%74.64%82.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.6464.4077.4791.96108.01125.76133.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-39.25%-39.25%-39.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)105.01106.01107.00
Year 2 PV (M)205.99209.92213.88
Year 3 PV (M)398.76410.20421.87
Year 4 PV (M)763.74793.11823.32
Year 5 PV (M)1,450.061,520.101,592.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)153,505.30160,919.66168,617.79
Equity Value (M)156,428.86163,958.99171,776.67
Shares Outstanding (M)20.6720.6720.67
Fair Value$7,566.93$7,931.19$8,309.35
Upside / Downside25,377.89%26,604.34%27,877.62%

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