DDM Analysis: CBA.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$245.05 - $607.67	$366.87
Multi-Stage	$263.21 - $287.89	$275.32
Blended Fair Value	$321.09
Current Price	$184.75
Upside	73.80%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.83%	2.52%	4.60	4.41	4.12	3.78	2.39	4.42	3.97	3.11	3.52	3.37
YoY Growth	-	-	4.28%	7.11%	8.91%	58.16%	-45.84%	11.32%	27.71%	-11.80%	4.41%	-6.02%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.49%	3.50%	4.11%	4.19%	2.40%	6.36%	4.82%	4.26%	4.25%	4.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	19,524.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	15,572.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,952.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,904.80	2,440.50	1,464.30
Cash Retained (M)	3,952.00	3,952.00	3,952.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,904.80	-2,440.50	-1,464.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	47.20	1,511.50	2,487.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,727.00	1,727.00	1,727.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.88	1.44
LTM Dividend per Share	9.02	9.02	9.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.88	1.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend	9.04	9.89	10.46
WACC / Discount Rate	7.09%	7.09%	7.09%
Growth Rate	3.28%	4.28%	5.28%
Fair Value	$245.05	$366.87	$607.67
Upside / Downside	32.64%	98.58%	228.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	19,524.00	20,359.41	21,230.56	22,138.99	23,086.29	24,074.13	24,796.35
Payout Ratio	79.76%	81.81%	83.85%	85.90%	87.95%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	15,572.00	16,655.34	17,802.88	19,018.12	20,304.77	21,666.71	22,936.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.09%	7.09%	7.09%
Growth Rate	3.28%	4.28%	5.28%
Year 1 PV (M)	15,403.43	15,552.57	15,701.71
Year 2 PV (M)	15,227.13	15,523.43	15,822.58
Year 3 PV (M)	15,043.86	15,485.09	15,934.87
Year 4 PV (M)	14,854.35	15,438.07	16,038.83
Year 5 PV (M)	14,659.27	15,382.84	16,134.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)	379,370.27	398,095.70	417,553.35
Equity Value (M)	454,558.30	475,477.70	497,186.05
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,727.00	1,727.00	1,727.00
Fair Value	$263.21	$275.32	$287.89
Upside / Downside	42.47%	49.02%	55.83%

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603194.SS	Zhejiang E-P Equipment Co Ltd	1.63%	$0.64	29.27%
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Financial Statements

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Sector

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener