DDM Analysis: CAT31.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$327.00 - $545.53	$423.27
Multi-Stage	$1,131.70 - $1,249.50	$1,189.42
Blended Fair Value	$806.35
Current Price	$87.70
Upside	819.44%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.20%	-0.11%	2.81	2.52	2.68	0.45	2.17	1.81	2.09	3.03	2.91	2.85
YoY Growth	-	-	11.51%	-5.90%	490.75%	-79.08%	19.75%	-13.42%	-31.10%	4.11%	2.25%	0.31%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.74%	3.85%	3.80%	0.56%	2.19%	1.35%	1.85%	2.93%	3.20%	3.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	129.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	23.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)	106.10

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	25.96	16.23	9.74
Cash Retained (M)	106.10	106.10	106.10
(-) Cash Required (M)	-25.96	-16.23	-9.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)	80.14	89.87	96.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4.56	4.56	4.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share	17.59	19.73	21.15
LTM Dividend per Share	5.21	5.21	5.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share	17.59	19.73	21.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	22.80	24.93	26.36
WACC / Discount Rate	4.82%	4.82%	4.82%
Growth Rate	-2.01%	-1.01%	-0.01%
Fair Value	$327.00	$423.27	$545.53
Upside / Downside	272.86%	382.63%	522.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	129.81	128.51	127.21	125.93	124.67	123.41	127.11
Payout Ratio	18.27%	32.61%	46.96%	61.31%	75.65%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	23.72	41.91	59.74	77.21	94.31	111.07	117.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.82%	4.82%	4.82%
Growth Rate	-2.01%	-1.01%	-0.01%
Year 1 PV (M)	39.58	39.98	40.39
Year 2 PV (M)	53.28	54.37	55.47
Year 3 PV (M)	65.02	67.03	69.08
Year 4 PV (M)	75.00	78.11	81.32
Year 5 PV (M)	83.41	87.76	92.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,839.44	5,091.46	5,353.87
Equity Value (M)	5,155.73	5,418.71	5,692.40
Shares Outstanding (M)	4.56	4.56	4.56
Fair Value	$1,131.70	$1,189.42	$1,249.50
Upside / Downside	1,190.42%	1,256.24%	1,324.75%

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Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 (CAT31.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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