Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Boston Scientific Corporation (BSX-PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$153.00 - $371.37$348.03
Multi-Stage$52.90 - $57.98$55.40
Blended Fair Value$201.71
Current Price$97.63
Upside106.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,788.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,765.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)557.60348.50209.10
Cash Retained (M)2,765.002,765.002,765.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-557.60-348.50-209.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,207.402,416.502,555.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,493.031,493.031,493.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.481.621.71
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.481.621.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.491.631.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$153.00$348.03$371.37
Upside / Downside56.72%256.48%280.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,788.002,969.223,162.223,367.763,586.673,819.803,934.40
Payout Ratio0.82%18.66%36.49%54.33%72.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.00554.061,154.051,829.712,588.323,437.823,639.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)515.21520.09524.98
Year 2 PV (M)997.901,016.911,036.09
Year 3 PV (M)1,471.201,513.441,556.47
Year 4 PV (M)1,935.262,009.692,086.24
Year 5 PV (M)2,390.212,505.662,625.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)71,678.5875,140.6878,735.29
Equity Value (M)78,988.3782,706.4786,564.60
Shares Outstanding (M)1,493.031,493.031,493.03
Fair Value$52.90$55.40$57.98
Upside / Downside-45.81%-43.26%-40.61%

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