Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II (BSTZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$88.02 - $138.10$111.01
Multi-Stage$102.60 - $111.86$107.15
Blended Fair Value$109.08
Current Price$20.75
Upside425.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS6.70%0.00%2.382.242.272.791.091.720.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--6.05%-1.08%-18.75%155.64%-36.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--11.48%13.41%14.49%7.16%3.00%8.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)372.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)243.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)128.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)74.4546.5327.92
Cash Retained (M)128.83128.83128.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-74.45-46.53-27.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)54.3882.30100.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.1143.1143.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.261.912.34
LTM Dividend per Share5.655.655.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.261.912.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.917.557.99
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate2.46%3.46%4.46%
Fair Value$88.02$111.01$138.10
Upside / Downside324.17%434.99%565.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)372.23385.13398.47412.28426.56441.34454.58
Payout Ratio65.39%70.31%75.23%80.16%85.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)243.40270.79299.79330.47362.91397.21420.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate2.46%3.46%4.46%
Year 1 PV (M)242.68245.05247.41
Year 2 PV (M)240.77245.49250.26
Year 3 PV (M)237.85244.89252.06
Year 4 PV (M)234.09243.36252.91
Year 5 PV (M)229.61241.04252.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,238.253,399.393,566.87
Equity Value (M)4,423.264,619.214,822.42
Shares Outstanding (M)43.1143.1143.11
Fair Value$102.60$107.15$111.86
Upside / Downside394.46%416.37%439.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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