DDM Analysis: BKNG

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,414.14 - $4,570.34	$3,286.09
Multi-Stage	$2,128.48 - $2,326.31	$2,225.59
Blended Fair Value	$2,755.84
Current Price	$5,399.27
Upside	-48.96%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	35.66	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.77%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5,044.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,230.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,814.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,008.80	630.50	378.30
Cash Retained (M)	3,814.00	3,814.00	3,814.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,008.80	-630.50	-378.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,805.20	3,183.50	3,435.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	32.92	32.92	32.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share	85.20	96.69	104.35
LTM Dividend per Share	37.36	37.36	37.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share	85.20	96.69	104.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend	122.56	134.05	141.71
WACC / Discount Rate	9.64%	9.64%	9.64%
Growth Rate	4.35%	5.35%	6.35%
Fair Value	$2,414.14	$3,286.09	$4,570.34
Upside / Downside	-55.29%	-39.14%	-15.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5,044.00	5,313.67	5,597.76	5,897.04	6,212.31	6,544.45	6,740.78
Payout Ratio	24.39%	37.51%	50.63%	63.75%	76.88%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,230.00	1,993.07	2,834.22	3,759.61	4,775.85	5,890.00	6,235.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.64%	9.64%	9.64%
Growth Rate	4.35%	5.35%	6.35%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,800.51	1,817.77	1,835.02
Year 2 PV (M)	2,313.02	2,357.57	2,402.54
Year 3 PV (M)	2,771.81	2,852.26	2,934.26
Year 4 PV (M)	3,180.86	3,304.56	3,431.83
Year 5 PV (M)	3,543.92	3,717.02	3,896.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)	56,467.93	59,226.08	62,090.98
Equity Value (M)	70,078.05	73,275.26	76,591.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	32.92	32.92	32.92
Fair Value	$2,128.48	$2,225.59	$2,326.31
Upside / Downside	-60.58%	-58.78%	-56.91%

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Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener