Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Bangkok Genomics Innovation Public Company Limited (BKGI.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.35 - $0.50$0.42
Multi-Stage$0.59 - $0.64$0.61
Blended Fair Value$0.52
Current Price$1.58
Upside-67.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.070.280.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-73.57%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.37%17.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.333.962.37
Cash Retained (M)3.573.573.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.33-3.96-2.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.76-0.381.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)600.00600.00600.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.040.050.05
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.35$0.42$0.50
Upside / Downside-77.88%-73.30%-68.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.6531.3431.0230.7130.4130.1031.01
Payout Ratio88.71%88.97%89.23%89.48%89.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.0827.8827.6827.4827.2927.0928.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)25.1325.3925.64
Year 2 PV (M)22.4922.9523.41
Year 3 PV (M)20.1220.7421.38
Year 4 PV (M)18.0118.7519.52
Year 5 PV (M)16.1116.9517.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)249.64262.64276.18
Equity Value (M)351.50367.42383.96
Shares Outstanding (M)600.00600.00600.00
Fair Value$0.59$0.61$0.64
Upside / Downside-62.92%-61.24%-59.50%

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