DDM Analysis: BISI.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$220.54 - $296.71	$259.66
Multi-Stage	$407.77 - $447.60	$427.29
Blended Fair Value	$343.48
Current Price	$875.00
Upside	-60.75%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-4.36%	20.89%	80.00	68.00	68.00	38.00	38.00	100.00	100.00	88.00	33.00	21.00
YoY Growth	-	-	17.65%	0.00%	78.95%	0.00%	-62.00%	0.00%	13.64%	166.67%	57.14%	75.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.48%	3.51%	3.99%	2.86%	3.36%	16.13%	7.19%	4.46%	1.76%	1.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	144,541.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	84,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	60,541.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	28,908.20	18,067.63	10,840.58
Cash Retained (M)	60,541.00	60,541.00	60,541.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-28,908.20	-18,067.63	-10,840.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)	31,632.80	42,473.38	49,700.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,000.00	3,000.00	3,000.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	10.54	14.16	16.57
LTM Dividend per Share	28.00	28.00	28.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	10.54	14.16	16.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend	38.54	42.16	44.57
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-6.36%	-5.36%	-4.36%
Fair Value	$220.54	$259.66	$296.71
Upside / Downside	-74.79%	-70.32%	-66.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	144,541.00	136,786.74	129,448.47	122,503.88	115,931.86	109,712.40	113,003.77
Payout Ratio	58.11%	64.49%	70.87%	77.25%	83.62%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	84,000.00	88,216.50	91,738.84	94,629.35	96,945.70	98,741.16	104,528.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-6.36%	-5.36%	-4.36%
Year 1 PV (M)	79,349.53	80,196.97	81,044.40
Year 2 PV (M)	74,223.65	75,817.50	77,428.27
Year 3 PV (M)	68,866.74	71,096.82	73,374.54
Year 4 PV (M)	63,460.98	66,215.70	69,059.15
Year 5 PV (M)	58,139.46	61,311.06	64,619.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)	879,269.36	927,234.83	977,271.10
Equity Value (M)	1,223,309.72	1,281,872.87	1,342,797.03
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,000.00	3,000.00	3,000.00
Fair Value	$407.77	$427.29	$447.60
Upside / Downside	-53.40%	-51.17%	-48.85%

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PT BISI International Tbk (BISI.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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