Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

B.Grimm Power Public Company Limited (BGRIM-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Independent Power ProducersSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.83 - $120.63$42.69
Multi-Stage$28.80 - $31.61$30.18
Blended Fair Value$36.43
Current Price$13.70
Upside165.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.38%5.26%0.360.220.300.450.370.320.450.050.170.52
YoY Growth--67.44%-28.33%-33.33%21.62%15.63%-28.89%869.83%-72.25%-67.86%141.30%
Dividend Yield--3.53%0.78%0.74%1.28%0.81%0.81%1.44%0.18%1.04%3.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,968.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,120.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)847.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)393.75246.09147.65
Cash Retained (M)847.76847.76847.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-393.75-246.09-147.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)454.02601.67700.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,606.902,606.902,606.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.230.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.230.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.600.660.70
WACC / Discount Rate5.43%5.43%5.43%
Growth Rate2.82%3.82%4.82%
Fair Value$23.83$42.69$120.63
Upside / Downside73.93%211.62%780.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,968.732,044.012,122.162,203.302,287.552,375.012,446.26
Payout Ratio56.94%63.55%70.16%76.78%83.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,120.971,298.981,488.971,691.591,907.532,137.512,262.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.43%5.43%5.43%
Growth Rate2.82%3.82%4.82%
Year 1 PV (M)1,220.211,232.071,243.94
Year 2 PV (M)1,313.861,339.541,365.46
Year 3 PV (M)1,402.131,443.431,485.54
Year 4 PV (M)1,485.231,543.851,604.20
Year 5 PV (M)1,563.361,640.881,721.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)68,091.1971,467.2974,976.00
Equity Value (M)75,075.9778,667.0782,396.59
Shares Outstanding (M)2,606.902,606.902,606.90
Fair Value$28.80$30.18$31.61
Upside / Downside110.21%120.27%130.71%

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