DDM Analysis: BGIP3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$291.75 - $1,663.81	$548.98
Multi-Stage	$184.16 - $201.59	$192.71
Blended Fair Value	$370.85
Current Price	$31.51
Upside	1,076.92%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	192.21%	37.39%	2.32	1.54	1.74	1.02	0.13	0.01	0.18	1.38	0.03	0.83
YoY Growth	-	-	50.97%	-11.80%	71.43%	665.86%	1,118.67%	-94.09%	-86.62%	5,297.91%	-96.93%	759.10%
Dividend Yield	-	-	8.60%	6.25%	6.63%	4.22%	0.34%	0.02%	0.50%	3.14%	0.10%	7.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	173.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	36.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)	136.83

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	34.69	21.68	13.01
Cash Retained (M)	136.83	136.83	136.83
(-) Cash Required (M)	-34.69	-21.68	-13.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)	102.14	115.15	123.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	20.64	20.64	20.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.95	5.58	6.00
LTM Dividend per Share	1.77	1.77	1.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.95	5.58	6.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.72	7.35	7.77
WACC / Discount Rate	7.47%	7.47%	7.47%
Growth Rate	5.05%	6.05%	7.05%
Fair Value	$291.75	$548.98	$1,663.81
Upside / Downside	825.89%	1,642.25%	5,180.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	173.45	183.94	195.06	206.86	219.37	232.63	239.61
Payout Ratio	21.11%	34.89%	48.67%	62.44%	76.22%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	36.62	64.17	94.93	129.17	167.20	209.37	221.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.47%	7.47%	7.47%
Growth Rate	5.05%	6.05%	7.05%
Year 1 PV (M)	59.15	59.71	60.28
Year 2 PV (M)	80.65	82.19	83.75
Year 3 PV (M)	101.15	104.07	107.04
Year 4 PV (M)	120.69	125.36	130.15
Year 5 PV (M)	139.30	146.06	153.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,301.05	3,461.19	3,627.49
Equity Value (M)	3,802.00	3,978.58	4,161.79
Shares Outstanding (M)	20.64	20.64	20.64
Fair Value	$184.16	$192.71	$201.59
Upside / Downside	484.45%	511.60%	539.76%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Banco do Estado de Sergipe S.A. (BGIP3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener