DDM Analysis: BBL-R.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$353.06 - $638.50	$472.12
Multi-Stage	$431.25 - $472.53	$451.50
Blended Fair Value	$461.81
Current Price	$139.00
Upside	232.24%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	2.01%	0.74%	7.00	5.00	4.00	3.50	5.00	6.33	6.32	6.32	6.30	6.50
YoY Growth	-	-	39.99%	25.04%	14.26%	-30.01%	-21.07%	0.22%	0.09%	0.28%	-3.11%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.75%	3.60%	2.64%	2.55%	3.97%	6.30%	3.04%	3.21%	3.47%	3.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	47,338.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	16,222.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)	31,115.46

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	9,467.66	5,917.29	3,550.37
Cash Retained (M)	31,115.46	31,115.46	31,115.46
(-) Cash Required (M)	-9,467.66	-5,917.29	-3,550.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)	21,647.80	25,198.17	27,565.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,908.84	1,908.84	1,908.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share	11.34	13.20	14.44
LTM Dividend per Share	8.50	8.50	8.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	11.34	13.20	14.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend	19.84	21.70	22.94
WACC / Discount Rate	7.98%	7.98%	7.98%
Growth Rate	2.23%	3.23%	4.23%
Fair Value	$353.06	$472.12	$638.50
Upside / Downside	154.00%	239.65%	359.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	47,338.32	48,869.19	50,449.57	52,081.06	53,765.31	55,504.03	57,169.15
Payout Ratio	34.27%	45.42%	56.56%	67.71%	78.85%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	16,222.86	22,194.44	28,535.30	35,263.05	42,396.10	49,953.62	52,881.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.98%	7.98%	7.98%
Growth Rate	2.23%	3.23%	4.23%
Year 1 PV (M)	20,355.35	20,554.46	20,753.56
Year 2 PV (M)	24,002.20	24,474.05	24,950.50
Year 3 PV (M)	27,203.38	28,009.48	28,831.36
Year 4 PV (M)	29,996.00	31,186.95	32,413.02
Year 5 PV (M)	32,414.45	34,031.08	35,711.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)	689,216.61	723,590.35	759,322.08
Equity Value (M)	823,187.99	861,846.37	901,982.09
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,908.84	1,908.84	1,908.84
Fair Value	$431.25	$451.50	$472.53
Upside / Downside	210.25%	224.82%	239.95%

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Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited (BBL-R.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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