Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Banco da Amazônia S.A. (BAZA3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,052.92 - $3,808.21$3,335.82
Multi-Stage$485.24 - $530.74$507.57
Blended Fair Value$1,921.70
Current Price$75.29
Upside2,452.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS54.07%19.98%6.620.003.621.371.900.760.000.001.641.54
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%163.68%-27.59%148.98%0.00%0.00%-100.00%6.59%44.16%
Dividend Yield--7.56%0.00%5.18%2.95%4.72%2.63%0.00%0.00%5.63%5.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,073.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)448.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)624.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)214.69134.1880.51
Cash Retained (M)624.80624.80624.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-214.69-134.18-80.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)410.11490.62544.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.0656.0656.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.328.759.71
LTM Dividend per Share8.008.008.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.328.759.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.3216.7617.71
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,052.92$3,335.82$3,808.21
Upside / Downside1,298.48%4,330.63%4,958.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,073.451,143.221,217.531,296.671,380.951,470.721,514.84
Payout Ratio41.79%51.44%61.08%70.72%80.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)448.64588.02743.63916.981,109.721,323.651,401.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)544.22549.38554.53
Year 2 PV (M)636.96649.09661.34
Year 3 PV (M)726.93747.79769.06
Year 4 PV (M)814.18845.50877.70
Year 5 PV (M)898.79942.20987.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,580.8124,719.7725,902.32
Equity Value (M)27,201.8928,453.7329,752.23
Shares Outstanding (M)56.0656.0656.06
Fair Value$485.24$507.57$530.74
Upside / Downside544.50%574.16%604.92%

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