DDM Analysis: BASGZ.IS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$896.50 - $1,056.23	$989.84
Multi-Stage	$192.60 - $210.77	$201.52
Blended Fair Value	$595.68
Current Price	$38.32
Upside	1,454.49%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	37.04%	0.00%	3.35	2.14	1.24	0.32	0.80	0.69	1.04	0.46	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	56.62%	72.32%	282.98%	-59.44%	15.27%	-33.40%	127.78%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	12.38%	11.64%	9.65%	2.35%	8.26%	7.16%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,717.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,400.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,317.55

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	743.54	464.72	278.83
Cash Retained (M)	1,317.55	1,317.55	1,317.55
(-) Cash Required (M)	-743.54	-464.72	-278.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)	574.00	852.83	1,038.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	700.00	700.00	700.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.82	1.22	1.48
LTM Dividend per Share	3.43	3.43	3.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.82	1.22	1.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.25	4.65	4.91
WACC / Discount Rate	5.89%	5.89%	5.89%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$896.50	$989.84	$1,056.23
Upside / Downside	2,239.51%	2,483.10%	2,656.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,717.72	3,959.37	4,216.73	4,490.82	4,782.72	5,093.60	5,246.41
Payout Ratio	64.56%	69.65%	74.74%	79.82%	84.91%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,400.17	2,757.63	3,151.42	3,584.76	4,061.11	4,584.24	4,852.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.89%	5.89%	5.89%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,579.70	2,604.16	2,628.61
Year 2 PV (M)	2,757.87	2,810.40	2,863.42
Year 3 PV (M)	2,934.67	3,018.91	3,104.76
Year 4 PV (M)	3,110.12	3,229.73	3,352.75
Year 5 PV (M)	3,284.23	3,442.86	3,607.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)	120,152.72	125,956.14	131,981.68
Equity Value (M)	134,819.31	141,062.20	147,538.77
Shares Outstanding (M)	700.00	700.00	700.00
Fair Value	$192.60	$201.52	$210.77
Upside / Downside	402.61%	425.88%	450.03%

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6244.TWO	Motech Industries Inc.	1.64%	$0.34	98.50%
6367.T	Daikin Industries,Ltd.	1.64%	$330.12	35.31%
6383.T	Daifuku Co., Ltd.	1.64%	$80.66	36.37%
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0GDU.L	Paradox Interactive AB (publ)	1.63%	$5.00	82.82%
300121.SZ	Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co., Ltd.	1.63%	$0.21	53.84%
603013.SS	YAPP Automotive Systems Co., Ltd.	1.63%	$0.40	37.85%
603081.SS	Zhejiang Dafeng Industry Co., Ltd	1.63%	$0.23	92.61%
603194.SS	Zhejiang E-P Equipment Co Ltd	1.63%	$0.64	29.27%
603221.SS	Elegant Home-Tech Co., Ltd.	1.63%	$0.21	78.59%
BEI.DE	Beiersdorf AG	1.63%	$1.52	25.19%
CLD.WA	Cloud Technologies S.A.	1.63%	$1.14	92.28%
IVS.MI	IVS Group S.A.	1.63%	$0.12	62.72%
LDO.MI	Leonardo S.p.A.	1.63%	$0.84	33.82%
MEOH	Methanex Corporation	1.63%	$0.67	24.08%
PARKIN.AE	Parkin Company PJSC	1.63%	$0.09	49.98%
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300206.SZ	Edan Instruments, Inc.	1.62%	$0.21	48.61%
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605050.SS	Friend Co.,Ltd.	1.62%	$0.22	30.01%
7378.T	ASIRO Inc.	1.62%	$23.93	20.21%
BPAC11.SA	Banco BTG Pactual S.A.	1.62%	$0.84	27.38%
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Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (BASGZ.IS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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