DDM Analysis: BAMI.MI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$209.25 - $246.54	$231.04
Multi-Stage	$54.00 - $59.10	$56.50
Blended Fair Value	$143.77
Current Price	$9.91
Upside	1,350.77%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	642.95%	64.50%	0.96	0.23	0.19	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	314.47%	21.22%	218.45%	0.00%	-100.00%	-66.67%	-55.04%	-99.29%	23,403.13%	-97.44%
Dividend Yield	-	-	10.31%	3.73%	5.31%	2.24%	0.00%	0.00%	0.01%	0.01%	1.44%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,863.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,507.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)	355.43

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	372.67	232.92	139.75
Cash Retained (M)	355.43	355.43	355.43
(-) Cash Required (M)	-372.67	-232.92	-139.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-17.24	122.51	215.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,503.10	1,503.10	1,503.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.08	0.14
LTM Dividend per Share	1.00	1.00	1.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.08	0.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.99	1.08	1.15
WACC / Discount Rate	5.44%	5.44%	5.44%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$209.25	$231.04	$246.54
Upside / Downside	2,011.54%	2,231.39%	2,387.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,863.33	1,984.44	2,113.43	2,250.81	2,397.11	2,552.92	2,629.51
Payout Ratio	80.93%	82.74%	84.56%	86.37%	88.19%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,507.90	1,641.93	1,787.02	1,944.02	2,113.89	2,297.63	2,432.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.44%	5.44%	5.44%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,542.66	1,557.28	1,571.90
Year 2 PV (M)	1,577.45	1,607.50	1,637.83
Year 3 PV (M)	1,612.29	1,658.58	1,705.74
Year 4 PV (M)	1,647.17	1,710.52	1,775.67
Year 5 PV (M)	1,682.09	1,763.34	1,847.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)	73,100.03	76,630.79	80,296.68
Equity Value (M)	81,161.70	84,928.00	88,835.51
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,503.10	1,503.10	1,503.10
Fair Value	$54.00	$56.50	$59.10
Upside / Downside	444.86%	470.15%	496.38%

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Banco BPM S.p.A. (BAMI.MI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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