DDM Analysis: BAHN-B.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$40.00 - $87.02	$57.30
Multi-Stage	$31.96 - $34.75	$33.33
Blended Fair Value	$45.31
Current Price	$60.00
Upside	-24.48%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	29.46%	0.00%	2.01	1.76	1.00	0.75	0.60	0.55	0.50	0.33	0.33	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	14.29%	75.00%	33.33%	25.00%	9.09%	10.00%	53.85%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.03%	4.03%	2.43%	2.15%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	221.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	215.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6.54

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	44.33	27.71	16.63
Cash Retained (M)	6.54	6.54	6.54
(-) Cash Required (M)	-44.33	-27.71	-16.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-37.79	-21.17	-10.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	107.22	107.22	107.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.35	-0.20	-0.09
LTM Dividend per Share	2.01	2.01	2.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.35	-0.20	-0.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.65	1.81	1.91
WACC / Discount Rate	9.86%	9.86%	9.86%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$40.00	$57.30	$87.02
Upside / Downside	-33.34%	-4.50%	45.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	221.67	236.08	251.43	267.77	285.18	303.71	312.82
Payout Ratio	97.05%	95.64%	94.23%	92.82%	91.41%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	215.13	225.79	236.92	248.54	260.68	273.34	289.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.86%	9.86%	9.86%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	203.59	205.52	207.45
Year 2 PV (M)	192.62	196.29	199.99
Year 3 PV (M)	182.21	187.44	192.77
Year 4 PV (M)	172.31	178.94	185.76
Year 5 PV (M)	162.92	170.79	178.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,513.30	2,634.69	2,760.73
Equity Value (M)	3,426.95	3,573.66	3,725.65
Shares Outstanding (M)	107.22	107.22	107.22
Fair Value	$31.96	$33.33	$34.75
Upside / Downside	-46.73%	-44.45%	-42.09%

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Bahnhof AB (publ) (BAHN-B.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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