Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Blue Cap AG (B7E.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.74 - $27.54$22.97
Multi-Stage$36.70 - $40.35$38.49
Blended Fair Value$30.73
Current Price$17.60
Upside74.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.47%43.82%0.650.440.560.890.670.670.890.010.020.01
YoY Growth--46.75%-20.24%-37.67%33.90%0.00%-25.00%7,409.43%-47.00%233.33%-61.04%
Dividend Yield--4.11%2.51%2.25%2.89%3.76%3.98%5.71%0.07%0.24%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.181.360.82
Cash Retained (M)5.975.975.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.18-1.36-0.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.804.615.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.474.474.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.851.031.15
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.851.031.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.952.132.25
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-2.47%-1.47%-0.47%
Fair Value$18.74$22.97$27.54
Upside / Downside6.45%30.49%56.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10.8810.7210.5610.4010.2510.1010.40
Payout Ratio45.09%54.07%63.05%72.03%81.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.905.796.667.498.309.099.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-2.47%-1.47%-0.47%
Year 1 PV (M)5.335.385.44
Year 2 PV (M)5.635.745.86
Year 3 PV (M)5.826.006.19
Year 4 PV (M)5.936.186.43
Year 5 PV (M)5.976.286.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)135.28142.36149.73
Equity Value (M)163.95171.94180.25
Shares Outstanding (M)4.474.474.47
Fair Value$36.70$38.49$40.35
Upside / Downside108.52%118.68%129.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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