DDM Analysis: AXIO.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$68.77 - $98.98	$83.51
Multi-Stage	$119.90 - $131.18	$125.43
Blended Fair Value	$104.47
Current Price	$131.00
Upside	-20.25%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	13.00	15.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-13.33%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	12.26%	7.43%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	56,817.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	46,721.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)	10,096.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	11,363.40	7,102.13	4,261.28
Cash Retained (M)	10,096.00	10,096.00	10,096.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-11,363.40	-7,102.13	-4,261.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-1,267.41	2,993.87	5,834.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5,840.13	5,840.13	5,840.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.22	0.51	1.00
LTM Dividend per Share	8.00	8.00	8.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.22	0.51	1.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	7.78	8.51	9.00
WACC / Discount Rate	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$68.77	$83.51	$98.98
Upside / Downside	-47.51%	-36.25%	-24.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	56,817.01	56,248.84	55,686.35	55,129.49	54,578.19	54,032.41	55,653.38
Payout Ratio	82.23%	83.78%	85.34%	86.89%	88.45%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	46,721.01	47,127.83	47,521.84	47,903.26	48,272.30	48,629.17	51,479.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	42,763.91	43,200.28	43,636.64
Year 2 PV (M)	39,128.50	39,931.11	40,741.88
Year 3 PV (M)	35,790.27	36,897.10	38,026.53
Year 4 PV (M)	32,726.37	34,082.72	35,480.81
Year 5 PV (M)	29,915.52	31,473.29	33,095.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)	519,886.33	546,958.02	575,145.89
Equity Value (M)	700,210.89	732,542.53	766,127.04
Shares Outstanding (M)	5,840.13	5,840.13	5,840.13
Fair Value	$119.90	$125.43	$131.18
Upside / Downside	-8.48%	-4.25%	0.14%

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Financial Statements

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PT Tera Data Indonusa Tbk (AXIO.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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