Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Asset World Corp Public Company Limited (AWC-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.02 - $3.21$2.56
Multi-Stage$5.29 - $5.83$5.55
Blended Fair Value$4.06
Current Price$2.24
Upside81.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.030.010.000.010.000.000.000.130.00
YoY Growth--56.26%197.41%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.03%0.77%0.19%0.00%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,381.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,400.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,980.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,276.34797.71478.63
Cash Retained (M)3,980.773,980.773,980.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,276.34-797.71-478.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,704.433,183.063,502.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32,055.7832,055.7832,055.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate5.73%5.73%5.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.02$2.56$3.21
Upside / Downside-9.89%14.34%43.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,381.686,317.876,254.696,192.146,130.226,068.926,250.99
Payout Ratio37.62%48.10%58.57%69.05%79.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,400.913,038.743,663.574,275.604,875.025,462.035,782.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.73%5.73%5.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,844.952,873.982,903.01
Year 2 PV (M)3,211.183,277.053,343.59
Year 3 PV (M)3,508.633,617.143,727.86
Year 4 PV (M)3,745.403,900.634,060.63
Year 5 PV (M)3,928.764,133.344,346.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)152,178.80160,103.10168,354.13
Equity Value (M)169,417.72177,905.24186,735.57
Shares Outstanding (M)32,055.7832,055.7832,055.78
Fair Value$5.29$5.55$5.83
Upside / Downside135.94%147.76%160.06%

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