DDM Analysis: ATRAV.HE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$28.54 - $60.95	$40.63
Multi-Stage	$40.87 - $44.85	$42.82
Blended Fair Value	$41.72
Current Price	$13.00
Upside	220.95%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	11.02%	11.86%	0.67	0.70	0.63	0.50	0.42	0.40	0.52	0.47	0.40	0.40
YoY Growth	-	-	-3.84%	11.21%	26.11%	19.11%	5.02%	-23.68%	12.50%	16.46%	0.00%	81.84%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.52%	6.94%	5.51%	4.79%	3.55%	4.84%	6.29%	3.78%	3.84%	4.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	44.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	19.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)	24.20

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.82	5.51	3.31
Cash Retained (M)	24.20	24.20	24.20
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.82	-5.51	-3.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)	15.38	18.69	20.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	28.20	28.20	28.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.55	0.66	0.74
LTM Dividend per Share	0.71	0.71	0.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.55	0.66	0.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.25	1.37	1.45
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	1.88%	2.88%	3.88%
Fair Value	$28.54	$40.63	$60.95
Upside / Downside	119.57%	212.50%	368.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	44.10	45.37	46.68	48.02	49.40	50.82	52.35
Payout Ratio	45.12%	54.10%	63.07%	72.05%	81.02%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	19.90	24.54	29.44	34.60	40.03	45.74	48.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	1.88%	2.88%	3.88%
Year 1 PV (M)	22.86	23.08	23.30
Year 2 PV (M)	25.53	26.03	26.54
Year 3 PV (M)	27.94	28.77	29.62
Year 4 PV (M)	30.10	31.30	32.53
Year 5 PV (M)	32.03	33.63	35.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,014.00	1,064.75	1,117.51
Equity Value (M)	1,152.44	1,207.56	1,264.80
Shares Outstanding (M)	28.20	28.20	28.20
Fair Value	$40.87	$42.82	$44.85
Upside / Downside	214.37%	229.40%	245.02%

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Atria Oyj (ATRAV.HE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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