DDM Analysis: ASSA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$17,362.63 - $20,456.12	$19,170.38
Multi-Stage	$6,472.78 - $7,095.67	$6,778.45
Blended Fair Value	$12,974.41
Current Price	$845.00
Upside	1,435.43%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	17.21%	40.53	1.27	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	11.05	6.44	3.68	4.60
YoY Growth	-	-	3,096.49%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	71.43%	75.00%	-20.00%	-44.44%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.65%	0.16%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	1.38%	2.55%	1.47%	4.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	379,667.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	204,394.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)	175,273.17

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	75,933.48	47,458.43	28,475.06
Cash Retained (M)	175,273.17	175,273.17	175,273.17
(-) Cash Required (M)	-75,933.48	-47,458.43	-28,475.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)	99,339.69	127,814.74	146,798.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,691.14	3,691.14	3,691.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share	26.91	34.63	39.77
LTM Dividend per Share	55.37	55.37	55.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share	26.91	34.63	39.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend	82.29	90.00	95.14
WACC / Discount Rate	4.68%	4.68%	4.68%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$17,362.63	$19,170.38	$20,456.12
Upside / Downside	1,954.75%	2,168.68%	2,320.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	379,667.42	404,345.80	430,628.28	458,619.12	488,429.36	520,177.27	535,782.58
Payout Ratio	53.84%	61.07%	68.30%	75.53%	82.77%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	204,394.25	246,926.14	294,123.62	346,413.50	404,258.40	468,159.54	495,598.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.68%	4.68%	4.68%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	233,676.95	235,891.90	238,106.85
Year 2 PV (M)	263,407.12	268,424.29	273,488.79
Year 3 PV (M)	293,589.98	302,017.90	310,605.58
Year 4 PV (M)	324,230.81	336,699.81	349,525.05
Year 5 PV (M)	355,334.94	372,497.75	390,317.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)	22,421,671.78	23,504,646.91	24,629,070.05
Equity Value (M)	23,891,911.59	25,020,178.56	26,191,113.73
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,691.14	3,691.14	3,691.14
Fair Value	$6,472.78	$6,778.45	$7,095.67
Upside / Downside	666.01%	702.18%	739.72%

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Financial Statements

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PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk (ASSA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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