DDM Analysis: ARMK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$20.21 - $40.39	$28.08
Multi-Stage	$34.65 - $38.08	$36.33
Blended Fair Value	$32.21
Current Price	$39.00
Upside	-17.42%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-0.01%	3.07%	0.41	0.37	0.43	0.42	0.42	0.41	0.41	0.39	0.38	0.34
YoY Growth	-	-	10.93%	-12.84%	1.32%	0.99%	1.01%	2.26%	5.16%	2.28%	9.49%	12.43%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.06%	1.00%	1.52%	1.42%	1.57%	1.49%	1.29%	1.86%	1.22%	1.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	326.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	110.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)	215.57

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	65.28	40.80	24.48
Cash Retained (M)	215.57	215.57	215.57
(-) Cash Required (M)	-65.28	-40.80	-24.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)	150.29	174.77	191.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	267.56	267.56	267.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.56	0.65	0.71
LTM Dividend per Share	0.41	0.41	0.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.56	0.65	0.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.98	1.07	1.13
WACC / Discount Rate	5.95%	5.95%	5.95%
Growth Rate	1.07%	2.07%	3.07%
Fair Value	$20.21	$28.08	$40.39
Upside / Downside	-48.17%	-28.00%	3.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	326.39	333.15	340.05	347.09	354.28	361.61	372.46
Payout Ratio	33.95%	45.16%	56.37%	67.58%	78.79%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	110.82	150.46	191.69	234.57	279.14	325.45	344.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.95%	5.95%	5.95%
Growth Rate	1.07%	2.07%	3.07%
Year 1 PV (M)	140.62	142.01	143.40
Year 2 PV (M)	167.44	170.77	174.13
Year 3 PV (M)	191.48	197.22	203.08
Year 4 PV (M)	212.96	221.52	230.33
Year 5 PV (M)	232.06	243.77	255.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,325.98	8,746.11	9,183.02
Equity Value (M)	9,270.54	9,721.39	10,189.89
Shares Outstanding (M)	267.56	267.56	267.56
Fair Value	$34.65	$36.33	$38.08
Upside / Downside	-11.16%	-6.84%	-2.35%

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Aramark (ARMK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener