DDM Analysis: ARBS.MI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$13.31 - $44.37	$21.72
Multi-Stage	$8.90 - $9.72	$9.30
Blended Fair Value	$15.51
Current Price	$2.42
Upside	540.99%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	17.29%	0.00%	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-62.25%	50.00%	300.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.10%	6.02%	0.00%	0.00%	0.60%	1.19%	0.88%	0.22%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.40

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.65	0.41	0.24
Cash Retained (M)	1.40	1.40	1.40
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.65	-0.41	-0.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.75	1.00	1.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6.66	6.66	6.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.15	0.17
LTM Dividend per Share	0.28	0.28	0.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.15	0.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.39	0.43	0.45
WACC / Discount Rate	8.59%	8.59%	8.59%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$13.31	$21.72	$44.37
Upside / Downside	450.17%	797.60%	1,733.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3.25	3.46	3.69	3.93	4.18	4.45	4.59
Payout Ratio	56.80%	63.44%	70.08%	76.72%	83.36%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1.85	2.20	2.58	3.01	3.48	4.01	4.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.59%	8.59%	8.59%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2.00	2.02	2.04
Year 2 PV (M)	2.15	2.19	2.23
Year 3 PV (M)	2.29	2.35	2.42
Year 4 PV (M)	2.41	2.51	2.60
Year 5 PV (M)	2.53	2.65	2.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)	47.90	50.21	52.62
Equity Value (M)	59.28	61.94	64.69
Shares Outstanding (M)	6.66	6.66	6.66
Fair Value	$8.90	$9.30	$9.72
Upside / Downside	267.90%	284.37%	301.45%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Arterra Bioscience (ARBS.MI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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