DDM Analysis: AMIN.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$126.21 - $180.17	$152.70
Multi-Stage	$209.96 - $229.77	$219.68
Blended Fair Value	$186.19
Current Price	$190.00
Upside	-2.01%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-8.97%	0.00%	5.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	8.00	8.00	8.00	8.00	8.40
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-4.79%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.50%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	2.00%	1.85%	1.79%	2.38%	7.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	20,039.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	14,040.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,999.29

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4,007.86	2,504.91	1,502.95
Cash Retained (M)	5,999.29	5,999.29	5,999.29
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4,007.86	-2,504.91	-1,502.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,991.43	3,494.38	4,496.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,080.06	1,080.06	1,080.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.84	3.24	4.16
LTM Dividend per Share	13.00	13.00	13.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.84	3.24	4.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	14.84	16.23	17.16
WACC / Discount Rate	9.53%	9.53%	9.53%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$126.21	$152.70	$180.17
Upside / Downside	-33.57%	-19.63%	-5.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	20,039.29	19,838.89	19,640.51	19,444.10	19,249.66	19,057.16	19,628.88
Payout Ratio	70.06%	74.05%	78.04%	82.02%	86.01%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	14,040.00	14,690.68	15,326.94	15,949.01	16,557.11	17,151.45	18,156.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.53%	9.53%	9.53%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	13,277.55	13,413.04	13,548.52
Year 2 PV (M)	12,520.10	12,776.92	13,036.34
Year 3 PV (M)	11,775.03	12,139.19	12,510.77
Year 4 PV (M)	11,048.14	11,506.03	11,978.01
Year 5 PV (M)	10,343.83	10,882.46	11,443.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)	167,807.84	176,545.98	185,644.40
Equity Value (M)	226,772.49	237,263.61	248,161.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,080.06	1,080.06	1,080.06
Fair Value	$209.96	$219.68	$229.77
Upside / Downside	10.51%	15.62%	20.93%

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PT Ateliers Mecaniques D'Indonesie Tbk (AMIN.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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