DDM Analysis: AMAR.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$240.60 - $511.28	$341.80
Multi-Stage	$188.21 - $204.87	$196.39
Blended Fair Value	$269.10
Current Price	$158.00
Upside	70.31%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	6.96	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.67	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.05%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.89%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	235,203.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	168,431.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	66,772.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	47,040.60	29,400.38	17,640.23
Cash Retained (M)	66,772.00	66,772.00	66,772.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-47,040.60	-29,400.38	-17,640.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)	19,731.40	37,371.63	49,131.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	18,381.05	18,381.05	18,381.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.07	2.03	2.67
LTM Dividend per Share	9.16	9.16	9.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.07	2.03	2.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.24	11.20	11.84
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$240.60	$341.80	$511.28
Upside / Downside	52.28%	116.33%	223.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	235,203.00	250,491.20	266,773.12	284,113.38	302,580.75	322,248.49	331,915.95
Payout Ratio	71.61%	75.29%	78.97%	82.64%	86.32%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	168,431.00	188,591.63	210,661.51	234,803.69	261,194.30	290,023.64	307,022.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	169,854.62	171,464.61	173,074.61
Year 2 PV (M)	170,881.52	174,136.33	177,421.85
Year 3 PV (M)	171,541.72	176,466.06	181,483.76
Year 4 PV (M)	171,863.43	178,472.81	185,271.02
Year 5 PV (M)	171,873.19	180,174.73	188,793.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,603,459.07	2,729,207.12	2,859,767.84
Equity Value (M)	3,459,473.54	3,609,921.67	3,765,813.07
Shares Outstanding (M)	18,381.05	18,381.05	18,381.05
Fair Value	$188.21	$196.39	$204.87
Upside / Downside	19.12%	24.30%	29.67%

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Financial Statements

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PT Bank Amar Indonesia Tbk (AMAR.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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