DDM Analysis: ALPJT.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$24.10 - $47.27	$33.24
Multi-Stage	$18.59 - $20.27	$19.42
Blended Fair Value	$26.33
Current Price	$10.30
Upside	155.64%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	14.40%	1.01%	0.20	0.32	0.23	0.15	0.10	0.10	0.13	0.10	0.10	0.15
YoY Growth	-	-	-38.03%	41.18%	50.69%	48.59%	0.00%	-21.17%	25.73%	0.13%	-32.94%	-15.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.92%	1.88%	0.90%	0.74%	1.16%	1.89%	1.47%	0.99%	1.04%	1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	11.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	7.07

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.21	1.38	0.83
Cash Retained (M)	7.07	7.07	7.07
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.21	-1.38	-0.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4.85	5.68	6.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	7.75	7.75	7.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.73	0.81
LTM Dividend per Share	0.52	0.52	0.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.73	0.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.14	1.25	1.32
WACC / Discount Rate	10.51%	10.51%	10.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$24.10	$33.24	$47.27
Upside / Downside	133.94%	222.76%	358.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	11.07	11.79	12.56	13.38	14.25	15.17	15.63
Payout Ratio	36.16%	46.93%	57.70%	68.46%	79.23%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4.00	5.53	7.25	9.16	11.29	13.65	14.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.51%	10.51%	10.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	4.96	5.01	5.05
Year 2 PV (M)	5.82	5.93	6.05
Year 3 PV (M)	6.60	6.79	6.98
Year 4 PV (M)	7.29	7.57	7.86
Year 5 PV (M)	7.90	8.29	8.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)	111.46	116.84	122.43
Equity Value (M)	144.03	150.42	157.05
Shares Outstanding (M)	7.75	7.75	7.75
Fair Value	$18.59	$19.42	$20.27
Upside / Downside	80.51%	88.52%	96.83%

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Poujoulat S.A. (ALPJT.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener