DDM Analysis: ALHRG.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$103.31 - $366.24	$171.24
Multi-Stage	$109.27 - $119.58	$114.33
Blended Fair Value	$142.79
Current Price	$22.00
Upside	549.03%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	20.48%	5.32%	1.88	1.77	1.77	1.22	0.00	0.74	0.49	0.49	0.00	0.34
YoY Growth	-	-	5.99%	0.08%	45.08%	0.00%	-100.00%	50.67%	0.71%	0.00%	-100.00%	-69.60%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.93%	5.37%	5.44%	2.68%	0.00%	2.49%	2.09%	1.20%	0.00%	1.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	10.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	10.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)	0.26

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.15	1.34	0.81
Cash Retained (M)	0.26	0.26	0.26
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.15	-1.34	-0.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-1.89	-1.08	-0.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2.87	2.87	2.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.66	-0.38	-0.19
LTM Dividend per Share	3.65	3.65	3.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.66	-0.38	-0.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.00	3.28	3.46
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	3.32%	4.32%	5.32%
Fair Value	$103.31	$171.24	$366.24
Upside / Downside	369.58%	678.37%	1,564.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	10.75	11.22	11.70	12.21	12.73	13.28	13.68
Payout Ratio	97.55%	96.04%	94.53%	93.02%	91.51%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	10.49	10.77	11.06	11.35	11.65	11.96	12.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	3.32%	4.32%	5.32%
Year 1 PV (M)	10.04	10.13	10.23
Year 2 PV (M)	9.60	9.79	9.97
Year 3 PV (M)	9.18	9.45	9.72
Year 4 PV (M)	8.78	9.12	9.48
Year 5 PV (M)	8.39	8.80	9.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)	267.78	280.99	294.72
Equity Value (M)	313.75	328.28	343.35
Shares Outstanding (M)	2.87	2.87	2.87
Fair Value	$109.27	$114.33	$119.58
Upside / Downside	396.70%	419.69%	443.55%

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Herige (ALHRG.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener