DDM Analysis: ALGEV.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3,656.32 - $4,309.01	$4,037.60
Multi-Stage	$2,456.16 - $2,698.96	$2,575.26
Blended Fair Value	$3,306.43
Current Price	$185.00
Upside	1,687.26%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	20.51%	9.09%	5.13	3.99	3.06	2.13	1.63	2.02	1.84	1.96	1.96	2.23
YoY Growth	-	-	28.69%	30.22%	43.48%	30.58%	-19.04%	9.65%	-6.15%	0.00%	-12.17%	3.88%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.77%	1.92%	1.65%	1.31%	1.00%	1.01%	1.03%	0.99%	1.35%	1.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	16.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)	9.63

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3.32	2.08	1.25
Cash Retained (M)	9.63	9.63	9.63
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3.32	-2.08	-1.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	6.31	7.55	8.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	0.75	0.75	0.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	8.36	10.01	11.11
LTM Dividend per Share	9.24	9.24	9.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share	8.36	10.01	11.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend	17.60	19.25	20.35
WACC / Discount Rate	1.35%	1.35%	1.35%
Growth Rate	3.89%	4.89%	5.89%
Fair Value	$3,656.32	$4,037.60	$4,309.01
Upside / Downside	1,876.39%	2,082.48%	2,229.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	16.60	17.41	18.26	19.16	20.09	21.08	21.71
Payout Ratio	42.01%	51.61%	61.21%	70.80%	80.40%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6.97	8.99	11.18	13.56	16.16	18.97	20.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	1.35%	1.35%	1.35%
Growth Rate	3.89%	4.89%	5.89%
Year 1 PV (M)	8.78	8.87	8.95
Year 2 PV (M)	10.68	10.88	11.09
Year 3 PV (M)	12.66	13.03	13.40
Year 4 PV (M)	14.74	15.31	15.90
Year 5 PV (M)	16.91	17.74	18.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,789.85	1,877.66	1,968.89
Equity Value (M)	1,853.61	1,943.49	2,036.84
Shares Outstanding (M)	0.75	0.75	0.75
Fair Value	$2,456.16	$2,575.26	$2,698.96
Upside / Downside	1,227.66%	1,292.03%	1,358.90%

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Gévelot S.A. (ALGEV.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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