DDM Analysis: ALCOF.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,764.25 - $3,993.06	$2,562.37
Multi-Stage	$2,181.09 - $2,392.22	$2,284.67
Blended Fair Value	$2,423.52
Current Price	$298.00
Upside	713.26%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	19.97%	9.53%	19.92	14.96	30.03	0.00	8.01	8.01	8.01	8.01	8.01	8.01
YoY Growth	-	-	33.10%	-50.17%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.00%	4.68%	9.27%	0.00%	2.78%	2.69%	2.36%	2.17%	2.07%	2.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2.12

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.69	0.43	0.26
Cash Retained (M)	2.12	2.12	2.12
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.69	-0.43	-0.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1.42	1.68	1.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	0.04	0.04	0.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share	36.94	43.67	48.16
LTM Dividend per Share	34.90	34.90	34.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share	36.94	43.67	48.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	71.84	78.58	83.07
WACC / Discount Rate	6.68%	6.68%	6.68%
Growth Rate	2.50%	3.50%	4.50%
Fair Value	$1,764.25	$2,562.37	$3,993.06
Upside / Downside	492.03%	759.86%	1,239.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3.46	3.58	3.71	3.84	3.97	4.11	4.24
Payout Ratio	38.87%	49.09%	59.32%	69.55%	79.77%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1.35	1.76	2.20	2.67	3.17	3.70	3.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.68%	6.68%	6.68%
Growth Rate	2.50%	3.50%	4.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1.63	1.65	1.67
Year 2 PV (M)	1.90	1.93	1.97
Year 3 PV (M)	2.14	2.20	2.26
Year 4 PV (M)	2.35	2.45	2.54
Year 5 PV (M)	2.55	2.68	2.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)	73.53	77.19	80.99
Equity Value (M)	84.11	88.10	92.25
Shares Outstanding (M)	0.04	0.04	0.04
Fair Value	$2,181.09	$2,284.67	$2,392.22
Upside / Downside	631.91%	666.67%	702.76%

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Cofidur S.A. (ALCOF.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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