Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

L'Air Liquide S.A. (AIL.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$459.09 - $2,190.23$1,002.03
Multi-Stage$379.87 - $416.36$397.78
Blended Fair Value$699.90
Current Price$175.18
Upside299.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.12%7.44%2.972.742.442.312.262.012.011.781.641.60
YoY Growth--8.66%12.10%5.67%2.06%12.46%0.31%12.43%8.85%2.50%10.23%
Dividend Yield--1.92%1.70%2.01%1.82%2.03%1.93%2.52%2.25%2.09%2.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,463.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,671.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,791.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,292.72807.95484.77
Cash Retained (M)2,791.702,791.702,791.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,292.72-807.95-484.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,498.981,983.752,306.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)577.77577.77577.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.593.433.99
LTM Dividend per Share6.366.366.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.593.433.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.959.7910.35
WACC / Discount Rate5.85%5.85%5.85%
Growth Rate3.83%4.83%5.83%
Fair Value$459.09$1,002.03$2,190.23
Upside / Downside162.07%472.00%1,150.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,463.606,775.577,102.607,445.427,804.788,181.498,426.94
Payout Ratio56.81%63.45%70.09%76.72%83.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,671.904,298.914,977.885,712.396,506.217,363.347,794.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.85%5.85%5.85%
Growth Rate3.83%4.83%5.83%
Year 1 PV (M)4,022.554,061.294,100.04
Year 2 PV (M)4,358.454,442.814,527.98
Year 3 PV (M)4,680.034,816.564,955.72
Year 4 PV (M)4,987.725,182.675,383.28
Year 5 PV (M)5,281.935,541.245,810.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)196,146.88205,776.49215,780.63
Equity Value (M)219,477.56229,821.05240,558.28
Shares Outstanding (M)577.77577.77577.77
Fair Value$379.87$397.78$416.36
Upside / Downside116.85%127.07%137.68%

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