DDM Analysis: AGUAS-A.SN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$232.01 - $387.16	$300.34
Multi-Stage	$820.09 - $904.26	$861.34
Blended Fair Value	$580.84
Current Price	$340.00
Upside	70.84%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-6.65%	0.00%	14.73	14.81	12.45	17.68	17.36	20.77	23.43	23.12	22.01	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.56%	18.96%	-29.57%	1.83%	-16.43%	-11.33%	1.31%	5.06%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.30%	5.22%	5.53%	10.52%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	123,600.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	87,025.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)	36,575.05

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	24,720.08	15,450.05	9,270.03
Cash Retained (M)	36,575.05	36,575.05	36,575.05
(-) Cash Required (M)	-24,720.08	-15,450.05	-9,270.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11,854.97	21,125.00	27,305.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6,118.01	6,118.01	6,118.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.94	3.45	4.46
LTM Dividend per Share	14.22	14.22	14.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.94	3.45	4.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	16.16	17.68	18.69
WACC / Discount Rate	4.83%	4.83%	4.83%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$232.01	$300.34	$387.16
Upside / Downside	-31.76%	-11.66%	13.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	123,600.39	122,364.39	121,140.75	119,929.34	118,730.05	117,542.74	121,069.03
Payout Ratio	70.41%	74.33%	78.25%	82.16%	86.08%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	87,025.34	90,949.66	94,786.79	98,538.08	102,204.87	105,788.47	111,988.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.83%	4.83%	4.83%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	85,885.41	86,761.79	87,638.17
Year 2 PV (M)	84,524.85	86,258.65	88,010.05
Year 3 PV (M)	82,977.24	85,543.37	88,161.87
Year 4 PV (M)	81,272.72	84,641.09	88,113.10
Year 5 PV (M)	79,438.28	83,574.81	87,881.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,603,208.88	4,842,908.64	5,092,491.39
Equity Value (M)	5,017,307.38	5,269,688.37	5,532,296.49
Shares Outstanding (M)	6,118.01	6,118.01	6,118.01
Fair Value	$820.09	$861.34	$904.26
Upside / Downside	141.20%	153.34%	165.96%

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Aguas Andinas S.A. (AGUAS-A.SN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener