DDM Analysis: AEGN.AT

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$106.90 - $567.17	$212.38
Multi-Stage	$67.88 - $74.31	$71.03
Blended Fair Value	$141.71
Current Price	$12.20
Upside	1,061.52%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.60%	0.00%	0.76	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.48	0.44	0.32	0.56	0.56
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	9.10%	37.48%	-42.82%	0.01%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.30%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	12.68%	5.89%	3.94%	8.28%	7.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	256.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	72.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)	184.09

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	51.33	32.08	19.25
Cash Retained (M)	184.09	184.09	184.09
(-) Cash Required (M)	-51.33	-32.08	-19.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	132.76	152.01	164.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	89.49	89.49	89.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.48	1.70	1.84
LTM Dividend per Share	0.81	0.81	0.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.48	1.70	1.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.29	2.51	2.65
WACC / Discount Rate	7.15%	7.15%	7.15%
Growth Rate	4.90%	5.90%	6.90%
Fair Value	$106.90	$212.38	$567.17
Upside / Downside	776.27%	1,640.80%	4,548.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	256.63	271.78	287.82	304.81	322.80	341.85	352.10
Payout Ratio	28.27%	40.61%	52.96%	65.31%	77.65%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	72.54	110.38	152.43	199.06	250.66	307.66	325.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.15%	7.15%	7.15%
Growth Rate	4.90%	5.90%	6.90%
Year 1 PV (M)	102.04	103.01	103.98
Year 2 PV (M)	130.26	132.76	135.27
Year 3 PV (M)	157.25	161.79	166.42
Year 4 PV (M)	183.06	190.14	197.42
Year 5 PV (M)	207.70	217.79	228.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,293.75	5,550.93	5,818.00
Equity Value (M)	6,074.06	6,356.41	6,649.37
Shares Outstanding (M)	89.49	89.49	89.49
Fair Value	$67.88	$71.03	$74.31
Upside / Downside	456.37%	482.23%	509.07%

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Aegean Airlines S.A. (AEGN.AT)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener