Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Emerging Markets Debt Fund - Investor Class (AEDVX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.36 - $19.76$15.72
Multi-Stage$34.01 - $37.44$35.69
Blended Fair Value$25.70
Current Price$8.96
Upside186.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%0.921.031.111.201.230.001.240.650.680.74
YoY Growth---10.02%-7.11%-8.09%-2.08%0.00%-100.00%89.44%-3.82%-7.75%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.31%11.68%11.91%11.39%13.56%0.00%12.21%6.37%6.87%7.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)71.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.288.935.36
Cash Retained (M)16.5716.5716.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.28-8.93-5.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.287.6411.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)59.3459.3459.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.130.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.920.920.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.130.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.961.051.11
WACC / Discount Rate5.63%5.63%5.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.36$15.72$19.76
Upside / Downside37.94%75.39%120.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)71.4070.6969.9869.2868.5967.9069.94
Payout Ratio76.80%79.44%82.08%84.72%87.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.8456.1557.4458.7059.9261.1164.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.63%5.63%5.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)52.6253.1653.70
Year 2 PV (M)50.4451.4852.52
Year 3 PV (M)48.3049.8051.32
Year 4 PV (M)46.2148.1350.10
Year 5 PV (M)44.1746.4748.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,776.351,868.851,965.16
Equity Value (M)2,018.102,117.882,221.67
Shares Outstanding (M)59.3459.3459.34
Fair Value$34.01$35.69$37.44
Upside / Downside279.54%298.30%317.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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