DDM Analysis: ADS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$38.97 - $55.42	$47.07
Multi-Stage	$97.32 - $107.50	$102.31
Blended Fair Value	$74.69
Current Price	$56.80
Upside	31.49%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-19.53%	0.00%	0.88	0.86	0.88	0.86	1.24	2.62	2.57	2.37	0.62	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	2.38%	-2.33%	2.38%	-30.69%	-52.43%	1.76%	8.40%	285.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.56%	1.52%	1.56%	1.54%	1.11%	7.78%	1.46%	1.11%	0.25%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	293.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	61.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)	231.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	58.74	36.71	22.03
Cash Retained (M)	231.80	231.80	231.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-58.74	-36.71	-22.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	173.06	195.09	209.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	48.68	48.68	48.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.56	4.01	4.31
LTM Dividend per Share	1.27	1.27	1.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.56	4.01	4.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.83	5.28	5.58
WACC / Discount Rate	6.79%	6.79%	6.79%
Growth Rate	-4.98%	-3.98%	-2.98%
Fair Value	$38.97	$47.07	$55.42
Upside / Downside	-31.39%	-17.13%	-2.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	293.70	282.01	270.79	260.02	249.67	239.73	246.93
Payout Ratio	21.08%	34.86%	48.65%	62.43%	76.22%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	61.90	98.31	131.73	162.33	190.29	215.76	228.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.79%	6.79%	6.79%
Growth Rate	-4.98%	-3.98%	-2.98%
Year 1 PV (M)	91.10	92.06	93.02
Year 2 PV (M)	113.11	115.51	117.92
Year 3 PV (M)	129.17	133.29	137.49
Year 4 PV (M)	140.31	146.31	152.50
Year 5 PV (M)	147.42	155.34	163.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,116.04	4,337.23	4,567.83
Equity Value (M)	4,737.14	4,979.73	5,232.37
Shares Outstanding (M)	48.68	48.68	48.68
Fair Value	$97.32	$102.31	$107.50
Upside / Downside	71.34%	80.12%	89.25%

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Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. (ADS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener