DDM Analysis: ADMF.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$8,175.67 - $11,692.65	$9,900.10
Multi-Stage	$21,806.00 - $24,042.91	$22,901.94
Blended Fair Value	$16,401.02
Current Price	$8,925.00
Upside	83.76%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	1.37%	-9.71%	972.04	803.03	607.02	513.02	1,054.54	908.04	704.53	505.02	332.51	396.02
YoY Growth	-	-	21.05%	32.29%	18.32%	-51.35%	16.13%	28.89%	39.50%	51.88%	-16.04%	-85.33%
Dividend Yield	-	-	10.57%	5.90%	5.92%	5.98%	12.67%	12.66%	6.65%	8.28%	4.84%	12.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,230,852.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	703,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	527,852.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	246,170.40	153,856.50	92,313.90
Cash Retained (M)	527,852.00	527,852.00	527,852.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-246,170.40	-153,856.50	-92,313.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)	281,681.60	373,995.50	435,538.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	999.96	999.96	999.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share	281.69	374.01	435.56
LTM Dividend per Share	703.03	703.03	703.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	281.69	374.01	435.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend	984.72	1,077.04	1,138.58
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	-4.86%	-3.86%	-2.86%
Fair Value	$8,175.67	$9,900.10	$11,692.65
Upside / Downside	-8.40%	10.93%	31.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,230,852.00	1,183,311.67	1,137,607.54	1,093,668.67	1,051,426.90	1,010,816.67	1,041,141.17
Payout Ratio	57.11%	63.69%	70.27%	76.85%	83.42%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	703,000.00	753,674.01	799,384.82	840,440.23	877,131.67	909,735.01	963,055.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	-4.86%	-3.86%	-2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)	699,680.21	707,034.62	714,389.02
Year 2 PV (M)	688,950.48	703,509.84	718,221.43
Year 3 PV (M)	672,442.26	693,870.22	715,748.64
Year 4 PV (M)	651,521.89	679,349.64	708,059.45
Year 5 PV (M)	627,328.74	660,998.70	696,099.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)	18,465,202.25	19,456,265.78	20,489,433.60
Equity Value (M)	21,805,125.83	22,901,028.79	24,041,951.22
Shares Outstanding (M)	999.96	999.96	999.96
Fair Value	$21,806.00	$22,901.94	$24,042.91
Upside / Downside	144.32%	156.60%	169.39%

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Financial Statements

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PT Adira Dinamika Multi Finance Tbk (ADMF.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener