DDM Analysis: ABTG.MI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.95 - $4.54	$3.69
Multi-Stage	$6.47 - $7.12	$6.79
Blended Fair Value	$5.24
Current Price	$1.94
Upside	170.15%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.08	0.00	0.05	0.13	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	-59.69%	204.56%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.99%	0.00%	2.59%	3.61%	3.02%	0.00%	2.66%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.06

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.33	0.21	0.12
Cash Retained (M)	1.06	1.06	1.06
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.33	-0.21	-0.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.73	0.86	0.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5.11	5.11	5.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.17	0.18
LTM Dividend per Share	0.12	0.12	0.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.17	0.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.26	0.28	0.30
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$2.95	$3.69	$4.54
Upside / Downside	52.29%	90.39%	134.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1.66	1.64	1.63	1.61	1.59	1.58	1.62
Payout Ratio	35.81%	46.64%	57.48%	68.32%	79.16%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.59	0.77	0.93	1.10	1.26	1.42	1.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	0.71	0.72	0.73
Year 2 PV (M)	0.81	0.82	0.84
Year 3 PV (M)	0.88	0.91	0.94
Year 4 PV (M)	0.94	0.98	1.02
Year 5 PV (M)	0.98	1.03	1.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)	28.76	30.25	31.81
Equity Value (M)	33.07	34.71	36.41
Shares Outstanding (M)	5.11	5.11	5.11
Fair Value	$6.47	$6.79	$7.12
Upside / Downside	233.40%	249.92%	267.10%

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Alfio Bardolla Training Group S.p.A. (ABTG.MI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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